PrepTest 93+, Section 3, Question 16

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Future overall demand for professors can be predicted with reasonable accuracy from current birth rates. But the accuracy of predictions of future demand for music professors is lower, and that for jazz studies professors lower still.

Future overall demand for professors can be predicted with reasonable accuracy from current birth rates. But the accuracy of predictions of future demand for music professors is lower, and that for jazz studies professors lower still.

Future overall demand for professors can be predicted with reasonable accuracy from current birth rates. But the accuracy of predictions of future demand for music professors is lower, and that for jazz studies professors lower still.

Future overall demand for professors can be predicted with reasonable accuracy from current birth rates. But the accuracy of predictions of future demand for music professors is lower, and that for jazz studies professors lower still.

Question
16

The situation described above best illustrates which one of the following principles?

The more detailed and complete the evidence, the more precise predictions based on that evidence are.

The more general the level of a prediction, the more accurate it is.

Predicting future trends becomes more difficult as the events those predictions concern become more temporally remote.

The more detailed and complete the evidence, the more confidence we can have in predictions based on that evidence.

Predictions based only on general trends are unlikely to be accurate.

B
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