PrepTest 88, Section 2, Question 10
Wei: A respected automobile expert claims that most cars will develop transmission problems unless their transmissions are serviced at least once every three years. But this claim is false. I have owned both of my cars for over twelve years, I have never had the transmission serviced on either one, and neither one has ever developed a transmission problem.
Wei: A respected automobile expert claims that most cars will develop transmission problems unless their transmissions are serviced at least once every three years. But this claim is false. I have owned both of my cars for over twelve years, I have never had the transmission serviced on either one, and neither one has ever developed a transmission problem.
Wei: A respected automobile expert claims that most cars will develop transmission problems unless their transmissions are serviced at least once every three years. But this claim is false. I have owned both of my cars for over twelve years, I have never had the transmission serviced on either one, and neither one has ever developed a transmission problem.
Wei: A respected automobile expert claims that most cars will develop transmission problems unless their transmissions are serviced at least once every three years. But this claim is false. I have owned both of my cars for over twelve years, I have never had the transmission serviced on either one, and neither one has ever developed a transmission problem.
The pattern of flawed reasoning in Wei's argument is most similar to the pattern of flawed reasoning exhibited by which one of the following?
My veterinarian told me that most cats who do not have yearly teeth cleaning will develop gum problems. However, I have not had my cat's teeth cleaned for the past ten years, and she has not had any gum problems. Therefore, my veterinarian was wrong.
Car dealers claim that customers save money in the long run if they purchase extended warranties for new cars. But car dealers have a strong interest in making money from the warranties. Thus, the car dealers' claim is false.
A high-ranking traffic safety official claims that driving over the speed limit increases the chance of having an automobile accident. But this claim is not true. I never drive over the speed limit, and I have had two accidents in the past year.
Boot manufacturers claim that a good pair of boots will last at least five years. But this claim is false. The boots I got on sale at The Discount Store lasted only two years.
A study of local rainfall shows that we have received at least 20 centimeters (8 inches) of rain per year for the past 50 years. Thus, we will probably get at least 20 centimeters of rain this year, too.
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