PrepTest 62, Section 2, Question 21

Difficulty: 
Passage
Game

It is virtually certain that the government contract for building the new highway will be awarded to either Phoenix Contracting or Cartwright Company. I have just learned that the government has decided not to award the contract to Cartwright Company. It is therefore almost inevitable that Phoenix Contracting will be awarded the contract.

It is virtually certain that the government contract for building the new highway will be awarded to either Phoenix Contracting or Cartwright Company. I have just learned that the government has decided not to award the contract to Cartwright Company. It is therefore almost inevitable that Phoenix Contracting will be awarded the contract.

It is virtually certain that the government contract for building the new highway will be awarded to either Phoenix Contracting or Cartwright Company. I have just learned that the government has decided not to award the contract to Cartwright Company. It is therefore almost inevitable that Phoenix Contracting will be awarded the contract.

It is virtually certain that the government contract for building the new highway will be awarded to either Phoenix Contracting or Cartwright Company. I have just learned that the government has decided not to award the contract to Cartwright Company. It is therefore almost inevitable that Phoenix Contracting will be awarded the contract.

Question
21

The argument proceeds by

concluding that it is extremely likely that an event will occur by ruling out the only probable alternative

inferring, from a claim that one of two possible events will occur, that the other event will not occur

refuting a claim that a particular event is inevitable by establishing the possibility of an alternative event

predicting a future event on the basis of an established pattern of past events

inferring a claim about the probability of a particular event from a general statistical statement

A
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Explanations

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