PrepTest 41, Section 2, Question 5

Difficulty: 
Passage
Game

Statistician: Two major studies found no causal link between medical procedure�X and disorder Y, but these studies are flawed. One study looked at 1,000�people who had undergone procedure�X and the other study looked at 1,100 people who had undergone procedure�X. But because disorder Y occurs in only .02 percent of the population, researchers would need to include many more than 1,100 people in a study to detect even a doubling of the rate of disorder Y.

Statistician: Two major studies found no causal link between medical procedure�X and disorder Y, but these studies are flawed. One study looked at 1,000�people who had undergone procedure�X and the other study looked at 1,100 people who had undergone procedure�X. But because disorder Y occurs in only .02 percent of the population, researchers would need to include many more than 1,100 people in a study to detect even a doubling of the rate of disorder Y.

Statistician: Two major studies found no causal link between medical procedure�X and disorder Y, but these studies are flawed. One study looked at 1,000�people who had undergone procedure�X and the other study looked at 1,100 people who had undergone procedure�X. But because disorder Y occurs in only .02 percent of the population, researchers would need to include many more than 1,100 people in a study to detect even a doubling of the rate of disorder Y.

Statistician: Two major studies found no causal link between medical procedure�X and disorder Y, but these studies are flawed. One study looked at 1,000�people who had undergone procedure�X and the other study looked at 1,100 people who had undergone procedure�X. But because disorder Y occurs in only .02 percent of the population, researchers would need to include many more than 1,100 people in a study to detect even a doubling of the rate of disorder Y.

Question
5

Which one of the following most accurately expresses the main conclusion of the statistician's argument?

Contrary to the findings of two major studies, there is reason to think that procedure�X causes disorder�Y.

Two studies that discovered no causal link between procedure X and disorder�Y are unsound.

Researchers should conduct more-extensive studies of procedure�X to determine whether the procedure is causally linked with disorder�Y.

The two studies cited did not reach a conclusion as to whether disorder Y results from procedure X.

Despite the opinions of many medical experts, it has not been established that there is a causal link between procedure�X and disorder�Y.

B
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